The Great Stagnation

　　2008年，金融海嘯過後，世人發現《大債時代》的真相
　　2012年，《大停滯》將為你揭開不再成長的未來－－
　　拿掉電腦，拔掉網路，我們的經濟還剩下什麼？

　　全球剛經歷了大蕭條以來最嚴重金融危機，
　　大家原本以為，只要危機過去，一切都能恢復原狀，
　　失業率恢復正常，薪資可望上揚。
　　錯了！失業問題，薪資低迷，麻煩恐怕遠比你想像中複雜與悲觀！

　　本書作者泰勒．柯文，與克魯曼並列全球人氣最高的經濟學家，
　　這部簡潔有力的作品中，點出了一個遠較金融危機更令人驚駭的事實：
　　其實從1970年代開始，你我的平均薪資就已經出現大停滯！
　　而且柯文警告：這場長達數十年之久的「經濟大停滯」，還沒結束！
　　因為，全球經濟已經來到空氣稀薄的「科技高原」──
　　科技創新腳步放慢，所帶來的經濟果實早已不再甜美！
　　該怎麼做，才能讓我們的未來，能再度擁有甜美又豐盛的果實呢？
　　這本書，就是他引爆經濟學界熱烈討論的建議…

　　Tyler Cowen’s The Great Stagnation, the eSpecial heard round the world that ignited a firestorm of debate and redefined the nature of our economic malaise, is now-at last-a book.

　　America has been through the biggest financial crisis since the great Depression, unemployment numbers are frightening, media wages have been flat since the 1970s, and it is common to expect that things will get worse before they get better. Certainly, the multidecade stagnation is not yet over. How will we get out of this mess? One political party tries to increase government spending even when we have no good plan for paying for ballooning programs like Medicare and Social Security. The other party seems to think tax cuts will raise revenue and has a record of creating bigger fiscal disasters that the first. Where does this madness come from?

　　As Cowen argues, our economy has enjoyed low-hanging fruit since the seventeenth century: free land, immigrant labor, and powerful new technologies. But during the last forty years, the low-hanging fruit started disappearing, and we started pretending it was still there. We have failed to recognize that we are at a technological plateau. The fruit trees are barer than we want to believe. That’s it. That is what has gone wrong and that is why our politics is crazy.

　　Cowen reveals the underlying causes of our past prosperity and how we will generate it again. This is a passionate call for a new respect of scientific innovations that benefit not only the powerful elites, but humanity as a whole.

　　★本書中譯版《大停滯：全球經濟陷入漸凍，如何擺脫困局？》由早安財經出版。

作者簡介

泰勒．柯文 Tyler Cowen

　　哈佛大學經濟學博士，目前任教於喬治梅森大學，並主持該校知名智庫Mercatus Center。

　　他的超高人氣部落格，在全美經濟類點閱率的排行榜上高居第二位，遠遠超過克魯曼在《紐約時報》的部落格(第三名)，以及《蘋果橘子經濟學》作者李維特的部落格(第五名)。

　　柯文是當今經濟學界少見的天才。三歲就愛看書；十五歲贏得紐澤西州西洋棋冠軍；十九歲發表經濟學論文。目前為止，已經寫過15本書，是美國學界最肯定的經濟學大師之一。

　　《彭博商業週刊》稱他為「美國最炙手可熱的經濟學家」，英國《經濟學人》雜誌也選他為過去十年「最有影響力的經濟學家」。

　　Tyler Cowen is a professor of economics at George Mason University. He is a prominent blogger at marginalrevolution.com, the worldas leading economics blog. He also writes regularly for ”The New York Times,” and has written for ”Forbes, The Wall Street Journal,” and ”The Washington Post,”